According to scientists, “planet killer” asteroids pose “no threat” to Earth for at least 1,000 years.
The largest risk of an asteroid passing by the Moon is just 0.00151 percent, but smaller asteroids could still slam into Earth during the next 1,000 years.
Planet-killing asteroids have always been a frightening prospect ever since we learned about the demise of the dinosaurs.
However, scientists claim that giant asteroid collisions will not pose a real threat to Earth for at least 1,000 years, so for the time being, we can rest easy.
Research on circulating asteroids suggests that a collision similar to one that killed dinosaurs is probably unlikely for the time being.
While a vast space rock known as ‘1994 PC1′ represents the biggest gamble, this was as yet miniscule, with purportedly a 0.00151 percent chance of passing inside the Moon’s circle.
Oscar Fuentes-Muoz from the University of Colorado told the MIT Technology Review, “It’s good news.” Apparently, there’s no effect in the following 1,000 years.’
With only a 0.00151 percent chance of passing within the moon’s orbit within the next 1,000 years, asteroid “1994 PC1” posed the greatest threat. The six asteroids that are on the verge of colliding with Earth Asteroid Bennu has a chance of hitting Earth of one in 2,700.
Around 66 million years ago, an asteroid collision that left the Chicxulub crater in the area that is now the Gulf of Mexico wiped out more than half of the world’s species. Starting today, there are right now 1,283,023 known space rocks, as indicated by NASA.
These come in all shapes and sizes, with the biggest being around 329 miles (530 kilometers) in measurement.
A list of “km-sized near Earth objects” (0.6 miles wide) was looked at by researchers at the University of Colorado and the California Institute of Technology for this study.
Even though these are much smaller than the asteroid that killed dinosaurs and measured 6.2 miles across, they are by no means harmless. A rock of this size could send Earth into a miniature ice age, which would also make the world much darker because the atmosphere would be filled with dust and soot.
Before examining the potential threats posed by each asteroid over the next millennium, researchers looked at how far apart they were from Earth.
The probability of the 3,600-foot-wide asteroid 1994 PC1 colliding with Earth was found to be ten times greater than that of any other asteroid on the list, despite being minuscule.
Then came the 6,138-foot-wide 314082 Dryope and the 16,404-foot-wide 4179 Toutatis, the latter of which was dubbed the “potato-shaped” asteroid that sparked widespread panic in 2004.
For the ensuing millennium, a dinosaur-like asteroid event should not concern humans.
The massive asteroid sparked panic in 2004, but it won’t come back for a long time.
A piece of the Chelyabinsk meteorite that exploded over Russia, causing over 1,000 injuries, according to Professor Peter Wheatley of the University of Warwick’s Department of Physics.
The creators recognize 28 space rocks that represent a non-no danger to Earth over the course of the following 1,000 years, albeit fortunately none inside the following hundred years.
Despite the fact that collisions with these 28 asteroids are highly unlikely, these findings will enable subsequent research to concentrate on the most hazardous targets. “The purpose of this type of work is to provide humanity with an early warning of a catastrophic collision so that we can develop spacecraft that can nudge an asteroid just enough to avoid the Earth.”
“Plans for these spacecraft are already being made, and NASA carried out a test mission in 2022 called DART,” in which it crashed into a small moon of a known asteroid at high speed and successfully altered its orbit.
Regardless of these consoling outcomes, more modest space rocks truly do in any case present gamble to Earth during the following 100 and 1,000 years.
The European Space Organization observed that 878 more modest space rocks are in danger of hitting Earth in the following hundred years. These still have the potential to cause “serious devastation,” as a 20-meter-wide meteor in Chelyabinsk, Russia, ten years ago demonstrated.
Professor Peter Wheatley: The risk of asteroids smaller than 1 km, which still have the potential to destroy an entire city, needs to be evaluated more thoroughly. The majority of these smaller asteroids have yet to be discovered, even though it is unlikely that we will ever experience a collision.